Although the rubber market's strong rise since August has come to an end and the price once fell, but tight supply and demand relations and high oil prices form a strong support for rubber prices, and the prices of various types of rubber are relatively stable. It is expected that this pattern will be difficult to change within a short period of time. At the higher price levels, fluctuations and fluctuations will become the main theme of the rubber market outlook.
New resources increased slightly In 2005, domestic rubber resources basically showed a slight increase. According to the calculation of relevant statistics, the cumulative amount of new rubber resources in the country in the first three quarters of this year was about 3.43 million tons, an increase of 4.7% year-on-year. Among them, 1.42 million tons of natural rubber, an increase of 5.6%; synthetic rubber 201 million tons, an increase of 4.1%. The amount of new resources added in September was about 470,000 tons, an increase of 13.2%.
In 2005, China's natural rubber production suffered serious natural disasters. Hainan's main production area was typhoon after drought, and production was reduced in some areas. In the first three quarters of this year, it was estimated that the domestic natural rubber production was about 430,000 tons, which was a year-on-year decrease. The fourth quarter is a low season for China's natural rubber production, with little production. It is estimated that the annual output of natural rubber is 590,000 tons, which is lower than last year's level The output of synthetic rubber has grown steadily. According to statistics, in the first three quarters of this year, the national total output of synthetic rubber was 1.19 million tons, an increase of 9.5% year-on-year, of which output in September was 139,400 tons, an increase of 17.4%, and the growth level was increased. Since the second half of the year, the output of synthetic rubber has been significantly higher than the first half. It is estimated that the annual output of synthetic rubber will be about 1.6 million tons, an increase of approximately 8% over the previous year. In the first three quarters, the national rubber production volume was approximately 1.62 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 6.3%. It is estimated that all types of rubber production will be around 2.2 million tons in the year, an increase of 5.7% over the previous year.
Since the beginning of this year, China's rubber imports have maintained a slight increase. According to customs statistics, in the first three quarters of this year, the country imported 1.81 million tons of various types of rubber, an increase of 2% year-on-year, which is in sharp contrast to the sharp increase in previous years. However, it is worth noting that after entering the third quarter, rubber imports have increased significantly. For example, in September, the country’s imports of various types of rubber were 247,900 tons, an increase of 13.8% from the previous month and a year-on-year increase of 17.7%. This is a two-digit increase for two consecutive months. In the composition of rubber imports, the cumulative volume in the first three quarters was 990,000 tons of imported natural rubber and 820,000 tons of imported synthetic rubber, up 7% and 2.8% respectively year-on-year. Among them, 140,000 tons of natural rubber was imported in September, an increase of 20,000 tons from the previous month and a year-on-year increase of 16.7%. Imported synthetic rubber was 110,000 tons, an increase of 10.3% from the previous month and still 9%.
Consumer demand was relatively strong In 2005, China’s economy continued to grow rapidly. GDP in the first three quarters increased by 9.4% year-on-year, and fixed-asset investment, industrial production, and foreign economic trade maintained a relatively high level of growth. In the first three quarters, the country’s tire production (including various tires, the same below) was 223.8 million, an increase of 29% over the same period of last year, and the momentum of production increase was very strong. Among them, 242.7 million tires were produced in September, an increase of 19%. It is estimated that the annual output will be close to 300 million items, which will be 5%.
With the strong growth in the output of rubber products, domestic rubber consumption continues to grow strongly. According to calculations, the consumption of all types of rubber in the country in the first three quarters was not less than 3.6 million tons, an increase of more than 15% year-on-year, and consumer demand was quite strong.肯Tç¯å¨¼é¥©è§¥ ãœT㜠甑 甑 甑 甑 甑 甑 甑 甑 甑 èšœå èšœå èšœå èšœå more than 600,000 tons. The consumption of natural rubber reached or exceeded 2 million tons.
Market prices continue to rise The tension between supply and demand, and the constant soaring of oil prices, have stimulated an overall sharp increase in market prices. According to data from the Ministry of Commerce’s important production materials market monitoring system, in September, the average price of natural rubber No. 5 rubber in key monitored areas in China was approximately 16,350 yuan (t price, the same below), which was 28.3% higher than the beginning of the year; The average price of rosin-based styrene-butadiene rubber was about 14,925 yuan, up 11.6%; the average price of butadiene rubber was 15,720 yuan, up 12.7%.
Due to the substantial increase in the price of natural rubber, after entering the third quarter, the price of natural rubber was higher than that of synthetic rubber, and the abnormal situation of the inverse price of the two categories of rubber was completely reversed.
In August, the prices of dry rubber in the two major producing areas in Hainan and Yunnan were 1,157,660 yuan and 15,393 yuan, respectively, up 0.03% and 1.3% from the beginning of this year, showing a slight upward trend, but up 23.56 over the same period last year. % and 25.56%, the increase continues to increase, in September prices continue to rise.
Driven by the spot price, Shanghai Futures rubber prices continued to rise. According to the calculation of the relevant data, by the end of September this year, the average settlement price of the three-month contract on the Shanghai Futures Exchange was 17,390 yuan, which was 7.6% higher than that at the end of last month and 45% higher than that at the beginning of the year. The upward trend was relatively strong. .
New resources increased slightly In 2005, domestic rubber resources basically showed a slight increase. According to the calculation of relevant statistics, the cumulative amount of new rubber resources in the country in the first three quarters of this year was about 3.43 million tons, an increase of 4.7% year-on-year. Among them, 1.42 million tons of natural rubber, an increase of 5.6%; synthetic rubber 201 million tons, an increase of 4.1%. The amount of new resources added in September was about 470,000 tons, an increase of 13.2%.
In 2005, China's natural rubber production suffered serious natural disasters. Hainan's main production area was typhoon after drought, and production was reduced in some areas. In the first three quarters of this year, it was estimated that the domestic natural rubber production was about 430,000 tons, which was a year-on-year decrease. The fourth quarter is a low season for China's natural rubber production, with little production. It is estimated that the annual output of natural rubber is 590,000 tons, which is lower than last year's level The output of synthetic rubber has grown steadily. According to statistics, in the first three quarters of this year, the national total output of synthetic rubber was 1.19 million tons, an increase of 9.5% year-on-year, of which output in September was 139,400 tons, an increase of 17.4%, and the growth level was increased. Since the second half of the year, the output of synthetic rubber has been significantly higher than the first half. It is estimated that the annual output of synthetic rubber will be about 1.6 million tons, an increase of approximately 8% over the previous year. In the first three quarters, the national rubber production volume was approximately 1.62 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 6.3%. It is estimated that all types of rubber production will be around 2.2 million tons in the year, an increase of 5.7% over the previous year.
Since the beginning of this year, China's rubber imports have maintained a slight increase. According to customs statistics, in the first three quarters of this year, the country imported 1.81 million tons of various types of rubber, an increase of 2% year-on-year, which is in sharp contrast to the sharp increase in previous years. However, it is worth noting that after entering the third quarter, rubber imports have increased significantly. For example, in September, the country’s imports of various types of rubber were 247,900 tons, an increase of 13.8% from the previous month and a year-on-year increase of 17.7%. This is a two-digit increase for two consecutive months. In the composition of rubber imports, the cumulative volume in the first three quarters was 990,000 tons of imported natural rubber and 820,000 tons of imported synthetic rubber, up 7% and 2.8% respectively year-on-year. Among them, 140,000 tons of natural rubber was imported in September, an increase of 20,000 tons from the previous month and a year-on-year increase of 16.7%. Imported synthetic rubber was 110,000 tons, an increase of 10.3% from the previous month and still 9%.
Consumer demand was relatively strong In 2005, China’s economy continued to grow rapidly. GDP in the first three quarters increased by 9.4% year-on-year, and fixed-asset investment, industrial production, and foreign economic trade maintained a relatively high level of growth. In the first three quarters, the country’s tire production (including various tires, the same below) was 223.8 million, an increase of 29% over the same period of last year, and the momentum of production increase was very strong. Among them, 242.7 million tires were produced in September, an increase of 19%. It is estimated that the annual output will be close to 300 million items, which will be 5%.
With the strong growth in the output of rubber products, domestic rubber consumption continues to grow strongly. According to calculations, the consumption of all types of rubber in the country in the first three quarters was not less than 3.6 million tons, an increase of more than 15% year-on-year, and consumer demand was quite strong.肯Tç¯å¨¼é¥©è§¥ ãœT㜠甑 甑 甑 甑 甑 甑 甑 甑 甑 èšœå èšœå èšœå èšœå more than 600,000 tons. The consumption of natural rubber reached or exceeded 2 million tons.
Market prices continue to rise The tension between supply and demand, and the constant soaring of oil prices, have stimulated an overall sharp increase in market prices. According to data from the Ministry of Commerce’s important production materials market monitoring system, in September, the average price of natural rubber No. 5 rubber in key monitored areas in China was approximately 16,350 yuan (t price, the same below), which was 28.3% higher than the beginning of the year; The average price of rosin-based styrene-butadiene rubber was about 14,925 yuan, up 11.6%; the average price of butadiene rubber was 15,720 yuan, up 12.7%.
Due to the substantial increase in the price of natural rubber, after entering the third quarter, the price of natural rubber was higher than that of synthetic rubber, and the abnormal situation of the inverse price of the two categories of rubber was completely reversed.
In August, the prices of dry rubber in the two major producing areas in Hainan and Yunnan were 1,157,660 yuan and 15,393 yuan, respectively, up 0.03% and 1.3% from the beginning of this year, showing a slight upward trend, but up 23.56 over the same period last year. % and 25.56%, the increase continues to increase, in September prices continue to rise.
Driven by the spot price, Shanghai Futures rubber prices continued to rise. According to the calculation of the relevant data, by the end of September this year, the average settlement price of the three-month contract on the Shanghai Futures Exchange was 17,390 yuan, which was 7.6% higher than that at the end of last month and 45% higher than that at the beginning of the year. The upward trend was relatively strong. .
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